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Red114
204641.8
580935.9
68736.0
Blue109
331038.4
132538.8
354628.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211176080100140160180200114109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.1
40.140.2
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End4.3
red by 2.9
38.80.0
38.838.8
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End1.5
Second
687
#28
36.00.1
34.334.5
Auto12.4
Teleop23.5
End0.1
blue by 2.4
3310
#20
38.40.0
38.438.4
Auto12.3
Teleop21.1
End5.0
Third
5809
#42
35.90.1
34.334.4
Auto10.8
Teleop23.5
End1.6
red by 7.2
3546
#50
28.70.0
28.728.7
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.5