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Red26
88247.2
906111.7
957010.0
Blue41
882111.6
593516.5
621721.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283801020506070802641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9061
#40
11.70.0
7.67.6
Auto6.5
Teleop3.2
End2.0
blue by 9.6
6217
#16
21.40.3
14.014.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Second
9570
#37
10.00.0
8.18.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.8
blue by 6.5
5935
#21
16.50.4
9.29.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Third
8824
#50
7.20.0
10.610.6
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End1.1
blue by 4.4
8821
#35
11.60.4
9.69.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed