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Red64
16716.6
641915.5
462418.0
Blue17
42608.1
87664.0
55769.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3738203050606417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4624
#12
18.02.5
10.913.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End1.4
red by 8.3
5576
#44
9.71.4
12.210.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Second
167
#22
16.62.0
10.912.9
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End0.6
red by 8.6
4260
#31
8.11.9
11.59.6
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End0.5
Third
6419
#41
15.52.3
11.513.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 11.4
8766
#48
4.01.9
10.58.6
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed