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Red44
284723.7
784822.0
95439.0
Blue86
115633.3
909225.4
950813.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51602040801004486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2847
#14
23.70.4
19.419.0
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End4.0
blue by 9.6
1156
#13
33.32.0
29.731.7
Auto14.3
Teleop17.2
End1.8
Second
7848
#30
22.00.4
20.420.0
Auto8.8
Teleop12.0
End1.1
blue by 3.5
9092
#36
25.42.5
13.516.0
Auto9.0
Teleop16.2
End0.3
Third
9543
#51
9.00.6
7.77.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 4.8
9508
#20
13.82.5
10.412.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed