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Qual 152024 Iowa Regional
Red51
392823.9
465515.9
96716.3
Blue64
583717.0
460729.1
949515.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5745020801001201401605164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#23
23.90.0
22.1→22.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.1
blue by 5.2
4607
#15
29.11.8
20.1→21.9
Auto9.1
Teleop17.8
End2.2
Second
967
#29
16.30.1
15.2→15.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End0.7
blue by 0.7
5837
#28
17.01.8
13.0→14.8
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End0.9
Third
4655
#26
15.90.1
13.1→13.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End2.4
red by 0.7
9495
#24
15.21.8
9.4→11.2
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed