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Qual 162024 Iowa Regional
Red60
702120.2
485916.6
874424.2
Blue77
504122.9
265419.9
642434.5
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5779020401001201406077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#11
24.20.4
25.0→25.4
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End1.2
blue by 10.3
6424
#1
34.50.6
33.4→34.0
Auto14.3
Teleop16.6
End3.7
Second
7021
#18
20.20.6
18.1→18.7
Auto6.6
Teleop10.7
End3.0
blue by 2.6
5041
#17
22.90.5
19.5→20.1
Auto9.3
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Third
4859
#7
16.60.6
11.5→12.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End1.7
blue by 3.3
2654
#4
19.90.7
15.8→16.5
Auto7.0
Teleop10.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed