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Red34
882211.1
73098.3
642016.3
Blue63
178525.6
527519.9
82989.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35520204060803463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6420
#43
16.30.0
14.114.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End1.8
blue by 9.3
25.60.8
21.021.8
Auto6.9
Teleop16.1
End2.6
Second
8822
#49
11.10.0
11.511.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.5
End2.2
blue by 8.8
5275
#33
19.91.0
17.118.1
Auto8.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Third
7309
#46
8.30.0
8.18.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.8
blue by 0.7
8298
#39
9.01.0
6.97.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned