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Red42
16716.6
753115.7
95439.0
Blue60
957010.0
162519.8
284723.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33510204060804260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#22
16.60.7
12.913.6
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End0.6
blue by 7.1
2847
#14Sur
23.70.8
19.019.8
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End4.0
Second
7531
#25Sur
15.71.1
12.313.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.1
End2.2
blue by 4.1
19.81.2
16.918.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End1.9
Third
9543
#51
9.01.1
7.18.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 1.0
9570
#37
10.01.2
8.09.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned