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Red62
460729.1
88247.2
670614.0
Blue57
392823.9
950813.8
949515.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4848304060706257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#15
29.12.3
21.924.3
Auto9.1
Teleop17.8
End2.2
red by 5.2
3928
#23Sur
23.90.4
22.122.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Second
6706
#34
14.02.3
8.510.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 1.2
9495
#24
15.20.6
11.211.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Third
8824
#50
7.22.3
10.612.9
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End1.1
blue by 6.6
9508
#20
13.80.6
12.913.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned