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Qual 282024 Iowa Regional
Red56
73098.3
504122.9
784822.0
Blue40
162519.8
753115.7
372310.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524401001502002503005640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5041
#17
22.90.7
21.0→21.6
Auto9.3
Teleop11.4
End2.1
red by 3.0
1625
#9
19.80.0
18.1→18.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End1.9
Second
7848
#30
22.00.7
18.8→19.4
Auto8.8
Teleop12.0
End1.1
red by 6.2
7531
#25
15.70.0
13.3→13.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.1
End2.2
Third
7309
#46
8.31.1
6.3→7.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.8
blue by 1.9
3723
#45
10.10.0
8.9→8.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed