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Red49
87664.0
178525.6
96716.3
Blue50
621721.4
95439.0
64812.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563102040801004950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.1
23.523.5
Auto6.9
Teleop16.1
End2.6
red by 4.2
6217
#16
21.40.9
15.316.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Second
967
#29
16.30.2
15.615.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End0.7
red by 4.2
648
#32
12.11.6
7.59.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Third
8766
#48
4.00.2
8.68.7
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
blue by 5.0
9543
#51
9.01.6
8.19.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed