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Red81
874424.2
42608.1
392823.9
Blue65
464630.0
957010.0
680510.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6541020801001208165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#11
24.21.2
25.326.4
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End1.2
blue by 5.8
30.00.7
22.923.6
Auto12.9
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Second
3928
#23
23.91.2
22.523.7
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 13.9
6805
#38
10.01.1
7.99.0
Auto1.6
Teleop7.7
End0.6
Third
4260
#31
8.12.0
8.410.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End0.5
blue by 1.9
9570
#37
10.01.1
9.310.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed