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Red34
87707.7
88247.2
882211.1
Blue62
485916.6
645510.1
909225.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34411020305060703462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8822
#49
11.10.3
10.410.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.5
End2.2
blue by 14.3
9092
#36
25.42.9
14.117.0
Auto9.0
Teleop16.2
End0.3
Second
8770
#53
7.70.3
8.48.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End2.2
blue by 8.9
16.62.9
11.914.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Third
8824
#50
7.20.3
12.913.2
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End1.1
blue by 2.9
6455
#27
10.12.9
9.812.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed