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Red46
642016.3
949515.2
96399.0
Blue56
265419.9
906111.7
641915.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424235404550554656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6420
#43
16.30.6
14.615.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End1.8
blue by 3.6
19.90.7
16.517.2
Auto7.0
Teleop10.7
End2.2
Second
9495
#24
15.20.9
11.912.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 0.2
6419
#41
15.50.7
12.913.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Third
9639
#52
9.00.9
11.212.1
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End0.1
blue by 2.8
9061
#40
11.71.2
8.49.6
Auto6.5
Teleop3.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed