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Red49
95797.5
55769.7
527519.9
Blue69
950813.8
52519.8
284723.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3764020801001204969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5275
#33
19.90.8
17.318.1
Auto8.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
blue by 3.8
2847
#14
23.70.8
19.820.6
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End4.0
Second
5576
#44
9.70.8
9.910.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 10.2
525
#6
19.81.4
21.122.5
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Third
9579
#42
7.51.3
9.911.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End0.2
blue by 6.3
9508
#20
13.81.4
13.514.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned