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Red38
645510.1
950813.8
641915.5
Blue82
464630.0
702120.2
64812.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44561020304050607080903882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6419
#41
15.50.7
13.512.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 14.6
30.01.9
24.626.5
Auto12.9
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Second
9508
#20
13.81.2
15.314.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
blue by 6.4
7021
#18
20.23.1
16.119.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Third
6455
#27
10.11.2
12.711.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.5
blue by 2.0
648
#32
12.13.1
8.311.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned