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Red96
909225.4
583717.0
284723.7
Blue45
906111.7
42608.1
462418.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6037020801001209645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9092
#36
25.43.3
17.020.3
Auto9.0
Teleop16.2
End0.3
red by 7.5
4624
#12
18.00.7
16.115.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Second
2847
#14
23.72.0
20.622.6
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End4.0
red by 12.0
9061
#40
11.71.2
9.68.4
Auto6.5
Teleop3.2
End2.0
Third
5837
#28
17.03.3
13.817.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End0.9
red by 8.9
4260
#31
8.11.2
10.49.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned