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Red40
88247.2
52519.8
95797.5
Blue61
874424.2
96716.3
115633.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions469002060801001201401604061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#6
19.81.3
22.521.2
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End1.7
blue by 13.5
1156
#13
33.31.1
33.732.6
Auto14.3
Teleop17.2
End1.8
Second
9579
#42
7.51.3
11.29.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End0.2
blue by 16.7
8744
#11
24.21.1
26.425.3
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End1.2
Third
8824
#50
7.21.3
13.211.8
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End1.1
blue by 9.1
967
#29
16.31.9
15.713.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed