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Red81
42608.1
115633.3
621721.4
Blue46
753115.7
882111.6
702120.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5638020801001208146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#13
33.32.2
27.529.7
Auto14.3
Teleop17.2
End1.8
red by 13.1
7021
#18
20.20.5
17.618.1
Auto6.6
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Second
6217
#16
21.42.0
12.114.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
red by 5.6
7531
#25
15.70.5
10.110.6
Auto6.4
Teleop7.1
End2.2
Third
4260
#31
8.12.5
9.011.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End0.5
blue by 3.6
8821
#35
11.60.5
9.19.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed