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Red49
392823.9
82989.0
87664.0
Blue61
372310.1
96716.3
52519.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39433035455055604961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#23
23.90.9
21.222.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 4.0
525
#6
19.82.5
16.018.5
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Second
8298
#39
9.01.2
5.76.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.5
blue by 7.3
967
#29
16.32.5
12.715.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End0.7
Third
8766
#48
4.01.4
9.010.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
blue by 6.1
3723
#45
10.12.5
9.712.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed