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Red19
957010.0
73098.3
593516.5
Blue25
55769.7
462418.0
645510.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31380102050601925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5935
#21
16.51.1
10.29.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 1.4
4624
#12
18.00.8
11.710.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Second
9570
#37
10.01.9
10.08.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.8
blue by 0.1
6455
#27
10.11.0
9.08.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Third
7309
#46
8.31.1
9.28.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.8
blue by 1.4
5576
#44
9.70.8
13.012.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed