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Red72
52519.8
527519.9
642434.5
Blue68
641915.5
621721.4
464630.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87602040801001207268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.5
34.433.9
Auto14.3
Teleop16.6
End3.7
red by 4.5
30.00.7
26.527.2
Auto12.9
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Second
5275
#33
19.90.5
19.619.1
Auto8.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
blue by 1.4
6217
#16
21.40.7
17.818.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Third
525
#6
19.80.9
21.020.1
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End1.7
red by 4.4
6419
#41
15.50.7
12.813.6
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed