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Red43
95797.5
593516.5
753115.7
Blue29
882211.1
87664.0
583717.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383302060801001204329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5935
#21
16.50.5
12.513.0
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 0.4
5837
#28
17.00.2
16.015.8
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End0.9
Second
7531
#25
15.70.5
12.212.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.1
End2.2
red by 4.6
8822
#49
11.10.2
10.710.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.5
End2.2
Third
9579
#42
7.50.5
8.79.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End0.2
red by 3.5
8766
#48
4.00.2
3.83.6
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed