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Red61
702120.2
252619.3
462418.0
Blue34
460729.1
87372.8
874424.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576301001502006134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7021
#18
20.20.8
19.220.0
Auto6.6
Teleop10.7
End3.0
blue by 8.8
4607
#15
29.13.3
24.120.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.8
End2.2
Second
2526
#10
19.30.5
16.316.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End3.0
blue by 4.9
8744
#11
24.22.0
24.622.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End1.2
Third
4624
#12
18.00.5
16.517.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End1.4
red by 15.2
8737
#47
2.83.3
7.74.4
Auto0.4
Teleop1.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed