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Red87
472828.3
64812.1
265419.9
Blue79
16716.6
392823.9
909225.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576602040801001201408779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.33.0
22.525.5
Auto11.0
Teleop13.9
End3.4
red by 2.9
9092
#36
25.41.7
21.423.1
Auto9.0
Teleop16.2
End0.3
Second
19.91.8
18.820.6
Auto7.0
Teleop10.7
End2.2
blue by 4.0
3928
#23
23.91.0
23.024.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Third
648
#32
12.13.0
11.414.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End2.2
blue by 4.5
167
#22
16.61.0
14.515.5
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed