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Red58
670614.0
95439.0
504122.9
Blue24
642016.3
42608.1
87707.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434001002003004005006007005824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5041
#17
22.90.9
19.820.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.4
End2.1
red by 6.6
6420
#43
16.30.9
17.516.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Second
6706
#34
14.01.6
10.311.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 6.0
4260
#31
8.11.4
10.49.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End0.5
Third
9543
#51
9.01.6
8.810.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
red by 1.3
8770
#53
7.71.4
8.97.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed