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Red62
462418.0
882211.1
874424.2
Blue41
882111.6
392823.9
642016.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5662203040507080901006241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#11
24.20.2
23.323.5
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End1.2
red by 0.3
3928
#23
23.91.1
25.023.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Second
4624
#12
18.00.2
17.317.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End1.4
red by 1.7
6420
#43
16.31.1
17.416.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Third
8822
#49
11.10.4
10.811.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.5
End2.2
blue by 0.5
8821
#35
11.61.6
13.211.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed