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Red28
527519.9
372310.1
88247.2
Blue29
64812.1
753115.7
87372.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46320204060802829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5275
#33
19.90.8
20.019.3
Auto8.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
red by 4.2
7531
#25
15.70.4
15.114.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.1
End2.2
Second
3723
#45
10.11.1
11.210.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.1
blue by 2.0
648
#32
12.10.4
12.512.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Third
8824
#50
7.21.1
8.47.2
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End1.1
red by 4.4
8737
#47
2.80.4
3.22.8
Auto0.4
Teleop1.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed