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Red72
593516.5
641915.5
909225.4
Blue73
504122.9
460729.1
680510.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5758405070807273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9092
#36
25.41.9
23.525.4
Auto9.0
Teleop16.2
End0.3
blue by 3.6
4607
#15
29.12.0
23.925.9
Auto9.1
Teleop17.8
End2.2
Second
5935
#21
16.51.9
14.616.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 6.3
5041
#17
22.91.4
20.321.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Third
6419
#41
15.51.3
14.115.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 5.5
6805
#38
10.02.0
8.010.0
Auto1.6
Teleop7.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed