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Red35
949515.2
87707.7
702120.2
Blue39
957010.0
95797.5
178525.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5247204060801003539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7021
#18
20.21.3
21.520.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.7
End3.0
blue by 5.3
25.60.3
25.625.3
Auto6.9
Teleop16.1
End2.6
Second
9495
#24
15.21.3
16.214.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.2
red by 5.2
9570
#37
10.00.5
9.89.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.8
Third
8770
#53
7.71.3
9.07.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End2.2
red by 0.2
9579
#42
7.50.4
8.07.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed