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Red67
784822.0
621721.4
753115.7
Blue73
265419.9
284723.7
392823.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577820401001206773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7848
#30
22.00.7
18.919.6
Auto8.8
Teleop12.0
End1.1
blue by 1.9
3928
#23
23.90.7
23.923.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Second
6217
#16
21.40.7
20.521.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
blue by 2.4
2847
#14
23.70.7
23.823.1
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End4.0
Third
7531
#25
15.71.0
14.715.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.1
End2.2
blue by 4.2
19.90.7
20.619.9
Auto7.0
Teleop10.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsEarned