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Red79
472828.3
909225.4
178525.6
Blue103
284723.7
392823.9
52519.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907040608010012014079103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.0
28.028.0
Auto11.0
Teleop13.9
End3.4
red by 4.5
3928
#23
23.90.8
23.224.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Second
25.60.0
25.325.4
Auto6.9
Teleop16.1
End2.6
red by 1.8
2847
#14
23.70.8
23.124.0
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End4.0
Third
9092
#36
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto9.0
Teleop16.2
End0.3
red by 5.6
525
#6
19.81.1
19.020.1
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End1.7