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Red83
527519.9
874424.2
162519.8
Blue46
593516.5
265419.9
702120.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70632040801008346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#11
24.20.3
23.724.1
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End1.2
red by 4.0
7021
#18
20.20.3
20.620.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Second
5275
#33
19.90.3
19.519.8
Auto8.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Level
19.90.3
20.219.9
Auto7.0
Teleop10.7
End2.2
Third
19.80.5
19.219.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End1.9
red by 3.3
5935
#21
16.50.3
16.916.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End1.3