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Red35
52519.2
99951.3
464622.9
Blue41
504119.5
99984.5
641911.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67510204060801001201401603541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.92.2
30.027.8
Auto11.5
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 3.4
19.50.3
20.920.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Second
525
#8
19.22.2
22.720.6
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End1.9
red by 7.5
11.70.3
15.515.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End1.0
Third
9995
#12
1.33.6
9.76.1
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
blue by 3.2
4.50.6
9.79.1
Auto0.3
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed