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Red10
99975.8
96712.3
99998.3
Blue37
631713.8
99960.6
392825.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32800501001501037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#11
12.32.2
23.521.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End0.4
blue by 12.9
25.21.9
28.326.4
Auto8.8
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Second
8.33.6
9.76.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End1.1
blue by 5.5
13.81.9
17.715.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Third
5.83.6
9.76.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.6
End0.9
red by 5.1
9996
#10
0.63.2
9.76.5
Auto1.5
Teleop-1.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned