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Red61
52519.2
392825.2
99975.8
Blue22
99984.5
631713.8
99951.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583002040801001201401606122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.5
26.426.0
Auto8.8
Teleop14.2
End2.3
red by 11.4
13.81.9
15.713.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Second
525
#8
19.20.5
20.620.1
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End1.9
red by 14.7
4.53.2
9.15.9
Auto0.3
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Third
5.80.8
6.05.2
Auto2.1
Teleop2.6
End0.9
red by 4.4
9995
#12
1.33.2
6.12.8
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed