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Red21
464622.9
96712.3
99998.3
Blue52
504119.5
641911.7
99960.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615902040801001202152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.92.3
27.825.6
Auto11.5
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 3.4
19.50.1
20.520.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Second
967
#11
12.32.3
21.319.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End0.4
red by 0.6
11.70.1
15.115.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End1.0
Third
8.33.8
6.02.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End1.1
red by 7.7
9996
#10
0.60.2
6.56.2
Auto1.5
Teleop-1.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed