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Red47
392825.2
631713.8
641911.7
Blue32
99998.3
504119.5
99984.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623102040801001201401604732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.2
26.024.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.2
End2.3
red by 5.8
19.50.2
20.420.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Second
13.81.2
13.812.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End1.6
red by 5.5
8.30.4
2.22.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Third
11.71.2
15.013.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End1.0
red by 7.2
4.50.4
5.96.3
Auto0.3
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed