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Red11
99951.3
99960.6
99984.5
Blue47
631713.8
504119.5
96712.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1855040801001201401147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4.50.0
3.63.7
Auto0.3
Teleop3.2
End0.9
blue by 15.0
19.50.7
20.519.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Second
9995
#12
1.30.0
-0.8-0.8
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
blue by 12.5
13.80.7
12.411.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Third
9996
#10
0.60.0
2.92.9
Auto1.5
Teleop-1.1
End0.1
blue by 11.6
967
#11
12.30.7
14.013.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed