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Red42
392825.2
52519.2
99984.5
Blue30
99960.6
641911.7
96712.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564702040801004230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.3
24.223.9
Auto8.8
Teleop14.2
End2.3
red by 12.9
967
#11
12.31.6
15.614.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End0.4
Second
525
#8
19.20.3
18.217.9
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End1.9
red by 7.5
11.71.6
12.811.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End1.0
Third
4.50.5
4.13.6
Auto0.3
Teleop3.2
End0.9
red by 3.9
9996
#10
0.62.7
5.62.9
Auto1.5
Teleop-1.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsEarned