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Red54
99951.3
504119.5
99998.3
Blue48
631713.8
464622.9
99975.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2141060801001205448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.5
20.020.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End2.4
blue by 3.4
22.90.7
24.024.7
Auto11.5
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
8.30.9
3.03.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End1.1
blue by 5.5
13.80.7
11.712.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Third
9995
#12
1.30.9
-1.7-0.8
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
blue by 4.4
5.81.1
2.13.2
Auto2.1
Teleop2.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed