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Red36
99951.3
504119.5
392825.2
Blue29
99998.3
99960.6
52519.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504002060801001203629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.6
24.824.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.2
End2.3
red by 6.1
525
#8
19.20.2
18.018.2
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End1.9
Second
19.50.6
20.620.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End2.4
red by 11.2
8.30.4
2.63.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Third
9995
#12
1.31.0
-0.7-1.7
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
red by 0.7
9996
#10
0.60.4
5.25.6
Auto1.5
Teleop-1.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed