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Red37
464622.9
641911.7
631713.8
Blue8
99975.8
99984.5
96712.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions592604080100120140378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.91.0
25.024.0
Auto11.5
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 10.6
967
#11
12.31.3
16.915.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End0.4
Second
13.81.0
12.611.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End1.6
red by 8.0
5.82.2
4.22.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.6
End0.9
Third
11.71.0
13.812.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End1.0
red by 7.2
4.52.2
6.34.1
Auto0.3
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed