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Red58
641911.7
392825.2
464622.9
Blue25
99960.6
99951.3
631713.8
96%Model gave it4%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731704060801001201405825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.2
24.924.7
Auto8.8
Teleop14.2
End2.3
red by 11.4
13.80.5
11.912.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Second
22.90.2
25.425.1
Auto11.5
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 21.6
9995
#12
1.30.7
-0.8-0.1
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
Third
11.70.2
11.511.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End1.0
red by 11.0
9996
#10
0.60.7
2.12.8
Auto1.5
Teleop-1.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed