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Red35
96712.3
99984.5
52519.2
Blue41
99998.3
99975.8
504119.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432501001503541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#8
19.20.0
18.318.3
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End1.9
blue by 0.3
19.50.2
19.719.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Second
967
#11
12.30.0
13.213.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End0.4
red by 4.0
8.30.3
6.05.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Third
4.50.1
2.82.9
Auto0.3
Teleop3.2
End0.9
blue by 1.3
5.80.3
3.63.2
Auto2.1
Teleop2.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned