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Red62
281311.0
603635.8
636422.5
Blue7
366911.8
15662.7
97378.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions803402060100120140627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.6
34.433.7
Auto10.8
Teleop23.7
End1.2
red by 24.0
3669
#22
11.83.2
16.613.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Second
6364
#11
22.50.6
22.321.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End1.9
red by 14.3
9737
#32
8.33.2
8.14.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Third
2813
#30
11.00.7
9.99.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End-0.1
red by 8.3
1566
#36
2.73.2
11.38.1
Auto1.7
Teleop0.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed