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Red50
259411.5
546120.0
258423.4
Blue14
19215.8
913811.0
58718.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5920040801005014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.1
21.521.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.8
red by 7.6
192
#20
15.80.6
6.05.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Second
5461
#21
20.00.1
19.119.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
red by 9.0
9138
#19
11.00.6
9.79.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Third
2594
#25
11.50.1
8.28.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End1.2
red by 3.5
5871
#41
8.01.0
7.46.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed