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Red68
459817.4
328812.5
11438.4
Blue34
21308.2
189119.7
904414.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70250204060801001206834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#1
38.40.7
34.835.5
Auto11.4
Teleop23.4
End3.6
red by 18.7
1891
#34
19.70.4
12.813.2
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End2.1
Second
4598
#16
17.40.7
16.016.7
Auto5.8
Teleop9.5
End2.1
red by 3.3
9044
#18
14.10.4
6.97.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Third
3288
#14
12.50.7
7.37.9
Auto6.6
Teleop5.3
End0.5
red by 4.3
2130
#42
8.20.6
8.69.3
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed