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Red54
943811.2
854614.1
212230.1
Blue17
93148.3
790613.4
763410.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492204060801005417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#10
30.10.2
26.626.9
Auto8.1
Teleop17.9
End4.1
red by 16.7
7906
#27
13.40.4
7.16.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Second
8546
#23
14.10.2
7.98.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1
red by 3.2
7634
#29
10.90.4
8.27.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.8
Third
9438
#12
11.20.2
6.26.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.0
End2.6
red by 2.9
9314
#37
8.30.6
7.46.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed