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Red33
324529.5
97269.3
417514.6
Blue45
340511.4
84620.2
593314.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514220306070803345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.8
24.523.7
Auto10.9
Teleop17.9
End0.7
red by 9.3
846
#13
20.20.5
14.615.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
4175
#35
14.61.3
11.710.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.1
red by 0.3
5933
#28
14.30.4
13.313.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Third
9726
#40
9.31.3
8.87.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 2.1
3405
#24
11.40.4
11.011.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed